Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.299492 3.811794 4.379278 5.054863 5.837780 6.717203 7.780961
2024-10-20 2.586214 3.245816 4.040089 5.068426 6.367000 7.955611 10.051798
2024-10-27 1.983268 2.673678 3.567307 4.811811 6.505606 8.738487 11.919103
2024-11-03 1.706100 2.453250 3.485480 5.021285 7.258965 10.417042 15.242487
2024-11-10 1.513442 2.307293 3.470944 5.309879 8.161485 12.445756 19.428873
2024-11-17 1.321109 2.123751 3.365259 5.438016 8.840467 14.253736 23.617069
2024-11-24 1.143920 1.930122 3.207444 5.450171 9.329409 15.835863 27.725682
2024-12-01 0.964406 1.700692 2.951814 5.252262 9.427148 16.778044 30.909778
2024-12-08 0.814861 1.496742 2.704459 5.022070 9.419912 17.521358 33.850690
2024-12-15 0.734925 1.403560 2.635760 5.099373 9.979114 19.368407 39.179026
2024-12-22 0.642521 1.272117 2.475792 4.975753 10.128909 20.454769 43.192106
2024-12-29 0.611373 1.254178 2.528419 5.276372 11.168698 23.460264 51.699892
2025-01-05 0.564666 1.200816 2.509089 5.440503 11.984234 26.207059 60.335650
2025-01-12 0.511839 1.126565 2.436025 5.479754 12.541847 28.510158 68.468273
2025-01-19 0.441653 1.003707 2.240840 5.216664 12.375237 29.172262 72.892541
2025-01-26 0.417648 0.980652 2.262019 5.454165 13.422737 32.844613 85.487539
2025-02-02 0.400952 0.971865 2.314292 5.775015 14.732746 37.394145 101.312729
2025-02-09 0.374574 0.935612 2.296113 5.919044 15.624599 41.062748 115.587268
2025-02-16 0.343897 0.883840 2.232110 5.935084 16.185686 43.976564 128.404565
2025-02-23 0.305261 0.805708 2.090029 5.720804 16.085155 45.090698 136.270516
2025-03-02 0.269817 0.730470 1.943948 5.470570 15.838139 45.749257 142.912047
2025-03-09 0.252756 0.702315 1.918721 5.555632 16.575888 49.382516 159.621727
2025-03-16 0.228707 0.651110 1.822992 5.421071 16.637119 51.023057 170.306124